4 ms·
Mr. Marx is kind of in the position of Nokia just before the first IPhone hit. Everything looked rosy for the status quo and Nokia was sure they understood th
by entropicgravity 4y ago
Mr. Marx is kind of in the position of Nokia just before the first IPhone hit. Everything looked rosy for the status quo and Nokia was sure they understood their future for at least ten or fifteen years and probably more.
In a similar vein Mr. Marx is sure that technology won't change anything because cars will stay more or less the same because the tech/auto/lobbyists will make sure it does.
Unfortunately for Mr. Marx the signs of transportation change are all around for those who can read the implications of technology.
Personal motorized transportation can be split into short range, less than 15 miles, and long range trips. Electrification will revolutionize the short range types. ie city cores.
The electrification of vehicles will be different because electric motors scale way better than IC engines. You see them all over, stand up scooters, ebikes, tiny electric cars, and all the way up to huge semi's and beyond. Current IC vehicles have to be big(ish) because their motors don't scale well below about 100hp. Electrics don't have that limitation (not to mention they will be much cheaper)
Another important technical aspect is that electrics in the city will result in the air quality getting much better because electrics don't emit the noxious poisonous gases the IC engines do. The implications are massive and pervasive. Once this becomes apparent IC cars will be banned pretty quickly from city centers.
In the near future then most people will have short range and long range vehicles. The larger long range vehicles will be encouraged not to be in the city centers and this will physically open up more space downtown.
This transition won't be as fast as the iPhone but it is inevitable. The technology is just much much better all around.
- Tiktaalik 4y ago> The larger long range vehicles will be encouraged not to be in the city centers and this will physically open up more space downtown. This wouldn't be a technology driven development though but rather a political one. There's nothing preventing us from limiting cars in our downtowns today. (Seen by the fact that many european cities already do this)