I think this is not the correct way of thinking of Moore's law. Like mentioned elsewhere, Moore's law is not so much a law as a self-fulfilling prediction. Semi

I think this is not the correct way of thinking of Moore's law. Like mentioned elsewhere, Moore's law is not so much a law as a self-fulfilling prediction. Semiconductor companies follow Moore's law (or recently an approximation) to stay competitive because their competitors do it and hence Moore's law continues. The cost of not marching along to Moore's law can mean you will get left in the dust (see Intel). I think a better question to ask is whether the underlying economic factors behind continuous process tech improvements are healthy. Is there enough value-add to the final user by continuous process tech improvements? Are the costs for that improved process tech scaling with the value-add? And is the competitive landscape healthy? While that holds true, companies will keep looking for process tech improvements to give them a competitive edge. In the 80-90s this was very much true but in recent decades it was to a lesser extent hence why we see consolidation/reduction in the number of foundries, foundry services to amortize the cost of older node-tech, and R&D going to companies/partnerships that can capture the most end user value-add (Apple/TSMC). Looking forward I think the economics are very healthy with a design-house/foundry service model that we have right now so I would guess that Moore's law (or some approximation) will continue for the next decade. There are a lot of process tech innovation that can lead to better performance that are not necessarily scaling related. In fact, scaling transistors stopped being very useful a while back afaik due to the breakdown of Dennard's scaling.