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There’s a difference between scientists converging on the research objectives of understanding the impacts of greenhouse gases, and agreeing on the general prog
by snake_doc 4y ago
There’s a difference between scientists converging on the research objectives of understanding the impacts of greenhouse gases, and agreeing on the general prognosis from the increase in gases to take action.
Even in 1991, Roger Revelle—one of the earliest scientists to recognize global warming—cautioned against taking drastic action because of scientific uncertainty[1]. He is not your oil and gas stooge, Revelle authored the seminal paper on CO2 buildup in 1957[2].
> But should the United States assume "leadership" in a hastily-conceived campaign that could cripple the global economy, or would it be more prudent to assure first, through scientific research, that the problem is both real and urgent?
We can sum up our conclusions in a simple message: The scientific base for a greenhouse warming is too uncertain to justify drastic action at this tine [sic].
While in hindsight it seems there was much scientific consensus opposed by industry, much of the skepticism was actually from the scientific community itself on the absence of certainty.
[1] https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.592.4640&rep=rep1&type=pdf https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.59...
[2] https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.3402/tellusa.v9i1.9075?needAcc https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.3402/tellusa.v9i1.907...
- defrost 4y agoPoint being that Revelle had a grasp on the actual geophysics, knew that the ocean buffer for C02 absorption was not sufficient to counter the gas increase in the atmosphere .. His specific doubt was about timscale and sensitivities .. he suggeted people wait until observed temp increases exceeded the noise threshold, he didn't doubt that they would. Returning to the original point, human tapping of the earths geothermal energy will be confined for a veryt long term to no deeper below the crust than the atmosphere rises above. On the matter of scale, if the earth was the size of a green granny smith apple (although 'spherical' (damn near), like a hypothetical cow) .. would the atmosphere be thicker or thinner than the skin on that apple? ie. How's your grasp of the actual physics in both these cases?