This isn't a solution to this puzzle, but the article mentioned the monty hall problem. Which is often a great way for nerds to butt-heads over how to develop p

This isn't a solution to this puzzle, but the article mentioned the monty hall problem. Which is often a great way for nerds to butt-heads over how to develop probabilities. If anyone is interested I have a solution for the monty hall problem that isn't technical at all and makes the correct answer intuitive. (To the point that you can evaluate it without putting a pen to paper.)