Very unlikely. Posturing regarding China is much cheaper than any action, the US was barely willing to take any action regarding Russia, and that's at least an

Very unlikely. Posturing regarding China is much cheaper than any action, the US was barely willing to take any action regarding Russia, and that's at least an order of magnitude cheaper. Consider that in any outright war, a company like Apple would no longer own anything beyond a trademark, and would have zero manufacturing ability. The costs would be massive - and for what? A small island in the Pacific? As long as China doesn't launch missiles at the Pacific second island chain or carriers, an escalation to a world war even in a situation where they launch a military attack on Taiwan is unlikely. Look beyond the rhetoric and I think even the ~ 20% odds on prediction sites is much too high, mostly clouded by recency bias.