Yes. Zeynep isn't saying "second order effects don't exist". She's saying "don't overthink it". Consider the public health nightmare we've been stuck in for th

Yes. Zeynep isn't saying "second order effects don't exist". She's saying "don't overthink it". Consider the public health nightmare we've been stuck in for the last three+ years. Instead of giving direct and useful guidance, people worry about how people will react to guidance and make second order arguments against the basic guidance that would actually help.