I'm currently reading "Thinking in Bets" by Annie Duke. I find her paradigm for decision making more accurate than this model. 1) She explains the physiology /

I'm currently reading "Thinking in Bets" by Annie Duke. I find her paradigm for decision making more accurate than this model. 1) She explains the physiology / psychology that leads to group think. 2) She proposes that decision-making is a spectrum. That there are - like poker, her profession - always knowns and unknowns. 3) She also has a solution for fighting groupthink and improving your post decision learning process via forming a truth-seek group. Finally, I don't feel smarter === second-order. In fact, smartness is more likely to create a bias such that you'll act too soon due to overconfidence in your smartness. Instead, second-order is about thoroughness, patience and the willingness to consider the full spectrum of possibilities. You don't have to have an above average IQ for that.