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> Any gambler that makes a prediction without internally associating it with a probability is one that's most likely losing money. The very fact that this idea
by c3534l 4y ago
> Any gambler that makes a prediction without internally associating it with a probability is one that's most likely losing money.
The very fact that this idea is expressible proves that you're combining two different ideas in your head. You're seeing the utility in making accurate predictions then, despite being perfectly capable of talking about predictions which aren't estimates, pretending that they're the same concept.
I of course don't need to appeal to your own confused words, because we live in a world where dictionaries exist.
- kqr 4y agoSure, I feel like that's what I've been trying to say all along: you can make a prediction without saying at what confidence level, but it doesn't mean anything to anyone other than perhaps to yourself, because only you know how strongly you believe in it.