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We're just biding our time until 2050, at which point we will unlock the ability to build industrial scale fusion energy plants.
by dcow 4y ago
We're just biding our time until 2050, at which point we will unlock the ability to build industrial scale fusion energy plants.
- planck01 4y agoI would love that. But honestly, I would be surprised if fusion energy will be economically feasible before 2100. If ever.
- jefftk 4y agoI'd bet on that. I'd give Commonwealth Fusion Systems alone 40% in the next 20 years. More on recent fusion developments: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-the-future-of-fusion https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-the-f...
- planck01 4y agoI hope you win! I usually get my reality checks from Sabine Hossenfelder, who a while back explained that all these fusion claims are wildly optimistic. You can find her video here: https://youtu.be/LJ4W1g-6JiY https://youtu.be/LJ4W1g-6JiY I am no scientist, so it is hard for me to know if team optimistic or team pessimistic is right. But even if it is the latter, I think we should put more money and research on it!
- jefftk 4y agoThe video isn't nuts, but it's mostly focused on clearing up a common misconception around what "break even" means. It discusses how ITER is not going to be powering the grid in 2025 (strong agree) but I don't see any discussion of the commercialization projects (of which Commonwealth is the strongest) or discussion of timescales anywhere near 2100.
- mlindner 4y ago> Sabine Hossenfelder FYI she's largely been debunked as a fear monger. She swings the pendulum too far in the other direction when reality is somewhere in between.
- rini17 4y agoSources pls?
- dcow 4y agoAccording to SimCity, the year is 2050 on the dot.
- MonkeyMalarky 4y agoJust watch out for any stray solar microwave beams in the mean time.
- flatiron 4y agoWould be interesting if solar beats it out. Both honestly are fusion energy.
- panick21_ 4y agoFusion will never be cheaper then fission. Unless maybe if somebody figures out aneutronic fusion but we are nowhere close yet.