3 ms·
IDK, some of that is factual: Germany turning from nuclear was a bet that did not pay off at all. Heating in Europe in the 2022-2023 winter is indeed looking ba
by SideburnsOfDoom 4y ago
IDK, some of that is factual: Germany turning from nuclear was a bet that did not pay off at all. Heating in Europe in the 2022-2023 winter is indeed looking bad.
But.
Europe knows which way to go - away from fossil fuels and being beholden to petrostate dictators, and is going in that direction, faster than ever (1).
I have heard it described as a a shift "on a war footing" (2) . The next winter will be cold, for sure - even on a war footing, these things take a long time. But the idea that this cause is harmed, especially in the time frame longer than 12 months is, I think, very wrong.
A "war footing" implies not just the investment in scaling up production that is not typically seen peacetime, but also that what's at stake is more than free markets and profits. Sure the fossil fuel industry has even more money because of the circumstances; war footing implies that for once profit is not the main concern, security overrides it.
The main hope is that the lessons learned in 2022 are not forgotten quickly, that the direction of travel remains in place, instead of reverting to increasing reliance on imported hydrocarbons.
1) https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/energy/the-war-in-ukraine-is-speeding-europes-pivot-to-renewables/2022/08/09/f2d197fe-17f8-11ed-b998-b2ab68f58468_story.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/energy/the-war-in-uk...
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/how-the-ukraine-war-is-accelerating-germanys-renewable-energy-transition https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/how-t...
2)
https://www.rechargenews.com/energy-transition/russias-invasion-of-ukraine-puts-the-eus-energy-transition-on-a-war-footing/2-1-1189415 https://www.rechargenews.com/energy-transition/russias-invas...
https://fortune.com/2022/03/09/europe-wean-1-billion-russia-energy-habit/ https://fortune.com/2022/03/09/europe-wean-1-billion-russia-...