3 ms·
Does the probability of a megaflood increase each year it's overdue or is that a fallacy?
by tedunangst 4y ago
Does the probability of a megaflood increase each year it's overdue or is that a fallacy?
- dotancohen 4y agoDoes the probability of rolling snake eyes increase each time you roll something else? You're describing the Gambler's Fallacy.
- poopchute 4y agoNot necessarily. A roll of the dice is considered independent variables, however, a weather system year over year probably isnt an independent variable