2 ms·
The way the allegations have escalated over the past week have moved the needle from "definitely not" to "maybe." The search warrant and the receipt has now be
by jcranmer 4y ago
The way the allegations have escalated over the past week have moved the needle from "definitely not" to "maybe."
The search warrant and the receipt has now been unsealed: https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.flsd.617854/gov.uscourts.flsd.617854.17.0_13.pdf https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.flsd.61.... Notably, the crimes being considered include 18 USC 793, which is the Espionage Act.
- harambae 4y agoWowzers, sounds serious. I wonder how far his odds of being elected in 2024 have tanked... https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-t... oh looks like all the way down from 27% to 25%
- wizofaus 4y agoHis odds of being able to legally run are 25% at best, and even if it got the go-ahead from the party, he could easily decide to back out if he didn't feel the odds were good enough. And the odds of actually getting elected if he did run can't be more than 45% surely, so I'd say at best there's a 10% chance Trump will ever be president again. Sadly there's a much higher chance someone even worse might be one day, even only looking ahead another 2 or 3 elections.
- harambae 4y agoSounds like you can get some guaranteed returns exceeding the S&P average.