How about: If the war in Ukraine continues, we can expect less food production and potential oil disruption to center Europe. No need to comment on how to get

How about: If the war in Ukraine continues, we can expect less food production and potential oil disruption to center Europe. No need to comment on how to get to this outcome, or thoughts about who will make a concession leading to a big conversation away from the main point of what you were trying to say. Keep the if statement about exactly matters, not a secondary effect/cause.