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Yeah even the most favorable polls for Clinton gave Trump a 20% chance. The failure in the runup to the 2016 election wasn't polling, but rather most people fai

Yeah even the most favorable polls for Clinton gave Trump a 20% chance. The failure in the runup to the 2016 election wasn't polling, but rather most people failing to understand probability.

shlurpy 4y ago
A 20% chance still happens quite often.
- Volundr 4y ago
  Exactly. It's a 1 in 5. Sure the polls put the odds against Trump, but they were far from overwhelming.