The prior. The second is a post rationalization of his behavior attempting to deflect his inability to predict with certainty the exact development of the futur

The prior. The second is a post rationalization of his behavior attempting to deflect his inability to predict with certainty the exact development of the future, coupled with an extremely odd base assumption that he was somehow completely incapable of liquidating stock with out having some “public cover”. People will go to great lengths to defend their idols, but claiming that Musk was playing 4D chess on this and that it was all a ploy to liquidate stock is the inverse of Occam’s razor, especially considering all the more straight forwards paths he had even if this was his main objective.