2 ms·
This headline will likely be recycled frequently over the next century, perhaps once every 5-10 years. It's right in line with predictions dating back to ~1980
by photochemsyn 4y ago
This headline will likely be recycled frequently over the next century, perhaps once every 5-10 years. It's right in line with predictions dating back to ~1980: midlatitude warming in regions reliant on summer snowmelt for a good portion of their water supply results in warmer winters where: more precipitation falls as water instead of snow, there's faster spring snowmelt, and soil and vegetation moisture gets reduced over the summer months (the latter being implicated in enhanced fire seasons). Here's another article about this, a bit more comprehensive:
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/aug/08/the-new-normal-how-europe-is-being-hit-by-a-climate-driven-drought-crisis https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/aug/08/the-new-...
> With surface soil humidity the lowest ever recorded and July rainfall 85% lower than usual,.. more than 100 French municipalities have no running drinking water and are being supplied by truck, green transition minister Christophe Béchu said, adding: “We are going to have to get used to episodes of this type. Adaptation is no longer an option, it’s an obligation.”
The summer rainfall factor is a bit more random, for example Germany was hit by record-breaking massive flooding at about this very same time in 2021. This is because of the nature of water vapor increases, if the atmosphere is loaded up with water vapor (a CO2 increase feedback effect) then that can drive either extreme heating ('clear air water vapor') or massive precipitation depending on whether the condensation threshold is hit or not.
It is not going away and it will get worse. The tipping point has come and gone.