>I don't think we'll see this in our lifetimes. I already see a clear path that'd take about 20 years to execute properly. That's assuming low pressure conditi

>I don't think we'll see this in our lifetimes. I already see a clear path that'd take about 20 years to execute properly. That's assuming low pressure conditions and a very large amount of funding though, both of which aren't typically present in reality. The result is essentially what GP describes, with a path to AGI in the form of extremely competent tool AI. We're going to hit self-assembling programs before we hit true AGI. I can't say I'm particularly excited to see such things become reality. Fortunately, humans usually find a way to fuck things up. Our species' collective incompetence is the largest barrier to AGI currently, which may be a blessing in disguise depending on how you look at it.