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https://earth-planets-space.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s40623-022-01676-5 https://earth-planets-space.springeropen.com/articles/10.118... This recent pa
by codebolt 4y ago
https://earth-planets-space.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s40623-022-01676-5 https://earth-planets-space.springeropen.com/articles/10.118...
This recent paper from Japan estimates the following likelihood for what it calls "extremely large solar flares":
> for 30-, 50-, and 100-year periods to be 0.70−0.76, 0.87−0.91, and 0.98−0.99, respectively
- cheschire 4y agoPerfect, thank you! I find much more value in numerical expression when it comes to topics about future events than the fuzzy and loaded English terms we tend to use in casual conversation. I had the wrong impression about your previous message based on my own preconceived notions, and numbers reduce all that.
- codebolt 4y agoNo problem, I should have been more specific when I wrote my initial comment but I was too lazy to pull up the exact reference until you challenged me (I somewhat randomly saw this paper a few days ago, initially).