3 ms·
Semis run everything, but: they wear out slowly, there's a long line of consumer semis for reuse, and few systems require the latest semi tech; There's extra ca
by yyyk 4y ago
Semis run everything, but: they wear out slowly, there's a long line of consumer semis for reuse, and few systems require the latest semi tech; There's extra capacity in the West for the older semi tech.
It's understandable HN community would focus on semis, but compared to 'financial crash worse than 2008' and 'Would all people be able to get food next month?' semis aren't that important. Semi production would be a slow long-term crisis we would be able to adjust to if we could handle effectively the initial very big short-term crises resulting from a massive war.
As Keynes put it: "In the long run we're all dead". If we couldn't handle the initial short-term economic crises we'll have bigger problems than long-term semi production adjustment. If we can, we could handle adjusting semi production and use. It's not that it isn't an issue, it's just way less important and less difficult than the other issues.