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They are trying to buy their way into a lead. We don't know how good Intel 18A is yet. It could be equivalent or only slightly better than TSMC's N3E or furthe
by senttoschool 4y ago
They are trying to buy their way into a lead.
We don't know how good Intel 18A is yet. It could be equivalent or only slightly better than TSMC's N3E or further enhancements of TSMC 3N. Keep in mind that the
base TSMC N3 node is scheduled for volume production in Q4 2022. So the TSMC is still likely quite ahead.
This is all assuming that everything goes well for Intel. If 18A is simply better than TSMC N3E, then TSMC won't have anything to compete until 2025 - 2026 when they release N2.
For TSMC, they have real paying customers that need to plan years ahead so all their date estimates are very conservative. For Intel, they're desperately trying to catch up so they're much more aggressive in their estimates.
According to Anandtech, TSMC's N2 could come in 2025 if things go well, which is roughly the same as 18A. So basically, if things go PERFECTLY for Intel, they'd be in the lead for a few quarters - not 2 years like you said.