3 ms·
> This seems like basic statistics but maybe I'm missing something. Yep, the thing you're missing is that it was 100 samples per week, over a quarter, so 900 s
by kentm 4y ago
> This seems like basic statistics but maybe I'm missing something.
Yep, the thing you're missing is that it was 100 samples per week, over a quarter, so 900 samples per calculation. I don't remember the margin of error cited but I think it was about .5%. Its not your fault though, because this is a misunderstanding that Musk actively encouraged in his tweets.
Musk has actually shown quite a few times that he either doesn't know what he's talking about here or is trying to mislead the public. For example, he also confuses total bot count and the number of bots in mDAU, which are different things.