4 ms·

The Seeds of the Next Big Thing Are Being Planted Now

24 points by terpua 18y ago

quasimojo 18y ago
the next "big thing" is not going to be a website of any kind sell me a car that gets 120mpg and costs less than 25k, you have the next big thing sell me solar panels that can erase my utility bill for $5k installed, you have the next big thing make a website that connects me to people with my interests and lets me comment on news, and you will be eating ramen ETC
- Frocer 18y ago
  You never know. Who knew a search engine would change our lives so drastically and quickly?
  - eru 18y ago
    Did it really change our lives? (It's easier to argue for eBay changing lives I guess.)
    - fallentimes 18y ago
      I use Google every day and so do millions (billions?) of people. It depends how you measure it, but Google has probably affected more people than Ebay.
    - Frocer 18y ago
      I don't know about you, but it changed mine. Google is basically my first destination when I have a question on anything -- whether it's looking for a restaurant, or solution to a bug I can't fix. I can't imagine my life without Google anymore. Don't you remember the days without Google? I used to have 4-5 search engines open when I need to search for something -- Yahoo, Infoseek, Altavista, Meta Crawler, Excite... Thank goodness for Google I don't have to waste hours looking for something!
- lsb 18y ago
  The next big thing is always a superhuman effort to transform the world. You can do that, by making the entirety of human knowledge available (Wikipedia, Google), with a website, but the website itself won't be enough, yes.
- vnorby 18y ago
  http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/12/20/is-information-overload-a-650-billion-drag-on-the-economy/ http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/12/20/is-information-over... How about solving information overload, 4.6% of our GDP, with web/mobile technology? http://store.ovum.com/Product.asp?pid=36856 http://store.ovum.com/Product.asp?pid=36856 How about cutting the cost of enterprise software, 1.5% of our GDP, using web/mobile technology? How about using web/mobile technology to improve supply chain management, logistics, warehousing, shipping, transportation, and manufacturing so that as a country, we can transition to solar energy at the least cost and afford to produce a 125mpg car that costs less than 25k? We have only barely begun to use computers and the internet to their full potential, you just have to look in the right places for the big ideas.
  - quasimojo 18y ago
    How about using web/mobile technology to improve supply chain management, logistics, warehousing, shipping, transportation, and manufacturing so that as a country salesforce.com is taking resumes now, don't delay
- zasz 18y ago
  You sound like Henry Ford's customers, who thought they would be happy with a faster horse.
- ojbyrne 18y ago
  The economics of starting a website are still very attractive compared to those alternatives. You can start with a few thousand dollars. You can't sell a car without (random guess) a billion dollars. You can't sell solar panels without (random guess) a 100 million dollars.
  - quasimojo 18y ago
    The economics of starting a website are still very attractive compared to those alternatives. which is why every superposition of possible websites has been explored eleventeen times. seriously, come up with your idea, i will point you to three people already doing it
    - timb 18y ago
      how about a website that features webcams places in the most crime-y areas of each major city, so we can watch what's happening?
- rgrieselhuber 18y ago
  On one hand, I can your point. On the other, I remember similar sentiments being expressed in 2001 and 2002. Besides, you don't always have to be working on the "next big thing" in order to be successful. I know lots of successful, and wealthy, people who innovate in fields that are hundreds of years old.
vaksel 18y ago
2000 and the current situation are not the same. The credit crunch is a lot worse.
fallentimes 18y ago
Don’t stop working on side projects and ideas that interest you, because those ideas not only might turn into brilliant products or services but also might turn into the economic catalyst that spurs our economy onward. Or more realistically, turns in to something that allows you to quit your job (if you're not happy there) or make some fun side money. While everyone else is "right sizing" (puke) - laying off good people that cost a small fortune to hire in the first place, wasting time restructuring, cutting revenue drivers (oh yes) and slashing R&D costs - you'll be building. If you own a business and are contemplating lay offs, remember how much those good people (if applicable) cost to hire. What if you reduced bonuses instead? Or lowered everyone's salary instead of firing people? Of cut some nice to have but not necessary perks? Or gasp eliminated your own salary if you can afford it. There's many many other options as well. Almost everything is negotiable. Most people I know would rather take a pay cut than be fired. It always puzzles me how adamantly companies speak of the importance of hiring and retaining talent. But then, when something bad happens, they treat everyone like a fucking commodity. To think that less than 1.5 months ago, angels I talked to were saying deal flow was as high as ever.
tialys 18y ago
It makes sense... when everything is going down, only the strongest, most innovative ideas will be able to rise to the top. If someone comes to you know pitching 'Digg, but for XX and YY' you're going to laugh, but when someone shows you an idea that does to XX what google did to search, you're going to throw all the money you can at them.
- ojbyrne 18y ago
  My dream pitch is, perhaps obviously, "Digg, but with integrity." and I'm the living proof that it lacks that.
  - lemonysnicket 18y ago
    what are you working on now?
    - ojbyrne 18y ago
      I have a job now. For http://tripadvisor.com http://tripadvisor.com. Saving lots of money, and actually working on a cool project, but I can't talk about it.
  - fallentimes 18y ago
    Hacker News?
lemonysnicket 18y ago
i hope this guy is planning on launching his own start-up. he'd be wise to read Paul Bucheit's oft-quoted advice = limited life experience + over-generalization. while 'inspirational' it lacks the quality of reading someone who's been there and done it...
known 18y ago
Next Big Thing = Revolution in America

24 points by terpua 18y ago

the next "big thing" is not going to be a website of any kind sell me a car that gets 120mpg and costs less than 25k, you have the next big thing sell me solar panels that can erase my utility bill for $5k installed, you have the next big thing make a website that connects me to people with my interests and lets me comment on news, and you will be eating ramen ETC

Frocer 18y ago
You never know. Who knew a search engine would change our lives so drastically and quickly?
- eru 18y ago
  Did it really change our lives? (It's easier to argue for eBay changing lives I guess.)
  - fallentimes 18y ago
    I use Google every day and so do millions (billions?) of people. It depends how you measure it, but Google has probably affected more people than Ebay.
  - Frocer 18y ago
    I don't know about you, but it changed mine. Google is basically my first destination when I have a question on anything -- whether it's looking for a restaurant, or solution to a bug I can't fix. I can't imagine my life without Google anymore. Don't you remember the days without Google? I used to have 4-5 search engines open when I need to search for something -- Yahoo, Infoseek, Altavista, Meta Crawler, Excite... Thank goodness for Google I don't have to waste hours looking for something!
lsb 18y ago
The next big thing is always a superhuman effort to transform the world. You can do that, by making the entirety of human knowledge available (Wikipedia, Google), with a website, but the website itself won't be enough, yes.
vnorby 18y ago
http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/12/20/is-information-overload-a-650-billion-drag-on-the-economy/ http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/12/20/is-information-over... How about solving information overload, 4.6% of our GDP, with web/mobile technology? http://store.ovum.com/Product.asp?pid=36856 http://store.ovum.com/Product.asp?pid=36856 How about cutting the cost of enterprise software, 1.5% of our GDP, using web/mobile technology? How about using web/mobile technology to improve supply chain management, logistics, warehousing, shipping, transportation, and manufacturing so that as a country, we can transition to solar energy at the least cost and afford to produce a 125mpg car that costs less than 25k? We have only barely begun to use computers and the internet to their full potential, you just have to look in the right places for the big ideas.
- quasimojo 18y ago
  How about using web/mobile technology to improve supply chain management, logistics, warehousing, shipping, transportation, and manufacturing so that as a country salesforce.com is taking resumes now, don't delay
zasz 18y ago
You sound like Henry Ford's customers, who thought they would be happy with a faster horse.
ojbyrne 18y ago
The economics of starting a website are still very attractive compared to those alternatives. You can start with a few thousand dollars. You can't sell a car without (random guess) a billion dollars. You can't sell solar panels without (random guess) a 100 million dollars.
- quasimojo 18y ago
  The economics of starting a website are still very attractive compared to those alternatives. which is why every superposition of possible websites has been explored eleventeen times. seriously, come up with your idea, i will point you to three people already doing it
  - timb 18y ago
    how about a website that features webcams places in the most crime-y areas of each major city, so we can watch what's happening?
rgrieselhuber 18y ago
On one hand, I can your point. On the other, I remember similar sentiments being expressed in 2001 and 2002. Besides, you don't always have to be working on the "next big thing" in order to be successful. I know lots of successful, and wealthy, people who innovate in fields that are hundreds of years old.

vaksel 18y ago

2000 and the current situation are not the same. The credit crunch is a lot worse.

fallentimes 18y ago

Don’t stop working on side projects and ideas that interest you, because those ideas not only might turn into brilliant products or services but also might turn into the economic catalyst that spurs our economy onward. Or more realistically, turns in to something that allows you to quit your job (if you're not happy there) or make some fun side money. While everyone else is "right sizing" (puke) - laying off good people that cost a small fortune to hire in the first place, wasting time restructuring, cutting revenue drivers (oh yes) and slashing R&D costs - you'll be building. If you own a business and are contemplating lay offs, remember how much those good people (if applicable) cost to hire. What if you reduced bonuses instead? Or lowered everyone's salary instead of firing people? Of cut some nice to have but not necessary perks? Or gasp eliminated your own salary if you can afford it. There's many many other options as well. Almost everything is negotiable. Most people I know would rather take a pay cut than be fired. It always puzzles me how adamantly companies speak of the importance of hiring and retaining talent. But then, when something bad happens, they treat everyone like a fucking commodity. To think that less than 1.5 months ago, angels I talked to were saying deal flow was as high as ever.

tialys 18y ago

It makes sense... when everything is going down, only the strongest, most innovative ideas will be able to rise to the top. If someone comes to you know pitching 'Digg, but for XX and YY' you're going to laugh, but when someone shows you an idea that does to XX what google did to search, you're going to throw all the money you can at them.

ojbyrne 18y ago
My dream pitch is, perhaps obviously, "Digg, but with integrity." and I'm the living proof that it lacks that.
- lemonysnicket 18y ago
  what are you working on now?
  - ojbyrne 18y ago
    I have a job now. For http://tripadvisor.com http://tripadvisor.com. Saving lots of money, and actually working on a cool project, but I can't talk about it.
- fallentimes 18y ago
  Hacker News?

lemonysnicket 18y ago

i hope this guy is planning on launching his own start-up. he'd be wise to read Paul Bucheit's oft-quoted advice = limited life experience + over-generalization. while 'inspirational' it lacks the quality of reading someone who's been there and done it...

known 18y ago

Next Big Thing = Revolution in America