4 ms·
You meant "unfalsifiable" ? Which those models are _not_. They have been projecting, for a while now, an increase in mean global temperature, and an increase i
by phtrivier 4y ago
You meant "unfalsifiable" ?
Which those models are _not_. They have been projecting, for a while now, an increase in mean global temperature, and an increase in the frequency of extreme climate events. (Which very generous margins, though.)
It could very much _not_ be observed (read the thermometers. Count the heat waves frequency. Compare.)
My general understanding is that the observation seem to match the projections, but IANA climatologist, so I have to trust other people [1]
[1] https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-how-well-have-climate-models-projected-global-warming/ https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-how-well-have-climate-m...
Also, the science of greenhouse effect is robust enough, much more so than the short term dynamics of an exponentially spreading unknown virus - so mistrusting all models because of the COVID ones seems a bit unfair.
Knowing all models are wrong, and some are usefull, I'm now going to leave you to doub, and go enjoy my fourth heatwave of the year.