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I think any gambler sees patterns in streaks, whether it be roulette or poker. People see patterns in athlete's hot streaks, but really these streaks aren't ou
by mrtron 18y ago
I think any gambler sees patterns in streaks, whether it be roulette or poker.
People see patterns in athlete's hot streaks, but really these streaks aren't outside of statistical randomness. People think that someone on a streak should take the next shot, but really their next shot is as likely as any other shot.
- pmjordan 18y agoWell, that may be true for truly random processes. I don't agree with the comment about athletes. Winning gives confidence, confidence can improve performance.
- mrtron 18y agoLook into the research done on 'Hot hand' in professional basketball. I had a university professor in psychology/computer learning that did some research in that field. Maybe in a sport like football or hockey where you can make an outstanding physical effort confidence comes into play, but for an individual basketball shot the evidence is strongly against hot streaks.