What's the risk of a plane flying over the Sea above the reach of "simple" weapons is being tracked? A military-level attack against the third highest represen

What's the risk of a plane flying over the Sea above the reach of "simple" weapons is being tracked? A military-level attack against the third highest representative of the United States is a quite certain way to launch a war, maybe even nuclear retaliation, based on how quickly and well "prove" for attribution is unveiled. However getting attention is a key purpose of that trip.