Because climate models have largely delivered accurate predictions since the 1970s. > In general, past climate model projections evaluated in this analysis wer

Because climate models have largely delivered accurate predictions since the 1970s. > In general, past climate model projections evaluated in this analysis were skillful in predicting subsequent GMST warming in the years after publication. While some models showed too much warming and a few showed too little, most models examined showed warming consistent with observations, particularly when mismatches between projected and observationally informed estimates of forcing were taken into account. We find no evidence that the climate models evaluated in this paper have systematically overestimated or underestimated warming over their projection period. The projection skill of the 1970s models is particularly impressive given the limited observational evidence of warming at the time, as the world was thought to have been cooling for the past few decades (e.g., Broecker, 1975; Broecker, 2017). https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL085378 https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL08...