4 ms·
Note that your situation does not match the ones of the blog post. The article discusses several easily comparable options with clear valuation to the subject.
by Beldin 4y ago
Note that your situation does not match the ones of the blog post. The article discusses several easily comparable options with clear valuation to the subject. Your situation describes a choice with incomplete information between two alternatives.
To dive into your setting: one challenge is that there are multiple optimisation strategies. Do you want to avoid risk as much as possible? Do you want the largest possible income? The highest job satisfaction? The best career path? Etc.
Note that even if you pick one of these as your sole optimisation factor, the choice is not clear. Eg. an industry position can make more money... or you have not-great luck, a string of mediocre jobs with little career growth and little payout. Or even bad luck and end up in jobs where you're a bad fit, learning nothing of career value to you and burning out repeatedly.
On top of that, any advice from experience would be tainted by survivor bias and its inverse; that is, "i liked the outcome, so do that" / "i hated that outcome, so don't do that".
Lastly, it isn't even clear (not can it ever be determined) that the downsides of choice paralysis are worse than the downsides of making the "lesser" choice. Maybe driving people this mad beats having to live in their couch for 6 months. Or maybe it doesn't.
In the end, your alternatives present a very complex scenario, in which no alternative can be fully explored without committing to it.