4 ms·
Most countries (including those outside the west) are falling, or have fallen below replacement rate. If we extrapolate this over the next few decades, and acc
by poser-boy 4y ago
Most countries (including those outside the west) are falling, or have fallen below replacement rate.
If we extrapolate this over the next few decades, and accept the conclusion that more technology = less children, and we can expect to see more technology in the future. Almost no new children will be born from within these high-tech societies, we will have to rely on immigration from Africa (the only place where replacement rate is high), and low-tech traditional religious societies.
What good is technology in this future scenario?
- kwhitefoot 4y agoPeople still have children and most countries do not need to be any more crowded than they are already. In fact many countries would benefit from having a lower population density. Technology has already replaced most agricultural workers in most developed countries and I can't imagine anyone wanting to return to pre-industrial agriculture.
- darebak 4y ago100 present day South Koreans will have 6 great-grandchildren total. That's an extinction level event. Ofcourse if the current trends continue.
- falcor84 4y agoIt's only extinction if you extrapolate this continuing over many generations, but of course every generation reevaluates their priorities
- Alt-F4 4y agoWow, interesting. Though my math comes out to 6.64 (== 100*(.5*0.81)**3). https://www.koreaherald.com/view.php?ud=20220223000644 https://www.koreaherald.com/view.php?ud=20220223000644