4 ms·
It is going to land in the water. The Chinese know what they are doing.
by throwaway4good 4y ago
It is going to land in the water.
The Chinese know what they are doing.
- pid_0 4y ago
- throwawayfck 4y ago
- deleted 4y ago[deleted]
- MichaelCollins 4y agoYes they know what they're doing, but what they're doing is taking calculated risks. They don't know it's going to land in the water, and their rocket boosters often don't. They understand this risk, and accept it.
- Rebelgecko 4y agoAre you saying they're able to control it somehow?
- throwaway4good 4y agoI am saying they know more about how this thing will fall and desolve than journalists or US defense organisations that have interest in drumming up fear either as a way to get attention or in a broder anti-China effort. We will see in a couple of hours.
- mlindner 4y agoNo they do not know how it will fall. That's beyond the ability of current known science of any country, let alone China. The last time they did this, they put out a fake "prediction" of where it would fall immediately after it impacted to try to pretend to people that they knew exactly where it would fall.
- detritus 4y agoIrrespective of whether the US administration wants to 'drum up fear', are you suggesting that China has a better ability to track orbiting objects than the likes of Norad (never mind the global mass of space enthusiasts adding-to and finessing datapoints)?
- Rebelgecko 4y agoYou're ascribing basically magical powers to China. I'm very doubtful that their space and solar prediction capabilities are so far advanced that they can predict the weather with the necessary precision weeks in advance
- JustSomeNobody 4y agoNobody knows what they're doing to the degree of keeping people perfectly safe. Too many variables in how this thing will interact with the atmosphere on re-entry.
- mlindner 4y agoIndeed. The stage is wildly tumbling through the edges of the atmosphere and the atmosphere is not continuous but "lumpy" with areas of higher and lower drag.
- mlindner 4y agoThe Chinese don't have any control over this stage. It's tumbling in space (as seen by several observers). They know they're leaving debris in space, but they have no idea where it will land. They continue to lie to their own public and the international public on every launch that the vehicle is controlled.
- dudeinjapan 4y ago70% chance. I'll take those odds.