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No, and they're wrong about online shopping too. Even in the middle of the pandemic, internet shopping never went above 40% of purchasing. https://www.ons.gov

No, and they're wrong about online shopping too. Even in the middle of the pandemic, internet shopping never went above 40% of purchasing. https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/retailindustry/timeseries/j4mc/drsi https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/retailindust... And as you can see, while it had a spike during the pandemic, it's roughly back to where it would be expected to be, growing, but the pandemic seemingly had no lasting impact.

Someone 4y ago
The only statement about online shopping I find on that page is “online shopping […] becoming mainstream”. Eyeballing that chart, if it’s at around 20% now and growing about one percentage point each year, it will be at 40% in 20 years time. I would call that mainstream.
- mattmanser 4y ago
  You've cut most of the quote, it's: the pandemic-fuelled (sic) a boom in digitisation, with teleworking, telehealth, online shopping and digital currencies becoming mainstream That is their summary of the fifth "megatrend", "Diving into digital". When you cut out most of the quote, unsurprisingly, you can claim anyone's wrong. Logically, they make four claims in that statement: The pandemic made teleworking mainstream The pandemic made telehealth mainstream The pandemic made online shopping mainstream The pandemic made digital currencies mainstream The last two of them are definitely wrong and that's what we're talking about. I cannot judge the first two having not looked into teleworking and telehealth.
  - Someone 4y ago
    I interpreted that in the context of “Seven megatrends that will shape the next 20 years”, and because of that, interpreted it as a prediction. Rereading it, you’re right that it doesn’t say that, but I still think it’s intended as one. The report (https://www.csiro.au/en/research/technology-space/data/Our-Future-World https://www.csiro.au/en/research/technology-space/data/Our-F...; there even is a .txt version) doesn’t add detail, though. IMO, that makes that prediction one of the “bloody obvious” kind. Digital already is mainstream, and I don’t think anybody thinks that will change soon (except, maybe, those predicting a major global collapse of society)

Someone 4y ago

The only statement about online shopping I find on that page is “online shopping […] becoming mainstream”. Eyeballing that chart, if it’s at around 20% now and growing about one percentage point each year, it will be at 40% in 20 years time. I would call that mainstream.

mattmanser 4y ago
You've cut most of the quote, it's: the pandemic-fuelled (sic) a boom in digitisation, with teleworking, telehealth, online shopping and digital currencies becoming mainstream That is their summary of the fifth "megatrend", "Diving into digital". When you cut out most of the quote, unsurprisingly, you can claim anyone's wrong. Logically, they make four claims in that statement: The pandemic made teleworking mainstream The pandemic made telehealth mainstream The pandemic made online shopping mainstream The pandemic made digital currencies mainstream The last two of them are definitely wrong and that's what we're talking about. I cannot judge the first two having not looked into teleworking and telehealth.
- Someone 4y ago
  I interpreted that in the context of “Seven megatrends that will shape the next 20 years”, and because of that, interpreted it as a prediction. Rereading it, you’re right that it doesn’t say that, but I still think it’s intended as one. The report (https://www.csiro.au/en/research/technology-space/data/Our-Future-World https://www.csiro.au/en/research/technology-space/data/Our-F...; there even is a .txt version) doesn’t add detail, though. IMO, that makes that prediction one of the “bloody obvious” kind. Digital already is mainstream, and I don’t think anybody thinks that will change soon (except, maybe, those predicting a major global collapse of society)