3 ms·
How is 2.19 births per woman below replacement rate? Do they have a very high number of male children born, or is life expectancy dropping, or something?
by strken 4y ago
How is 2.19 births per woman below replacement rate? Do they have a very high number of male children born, or is life expectancy dropping, or something?
- Qem 4y agoA little excess over 2 is necessary, due to the people that end dying before reproductive age.
- dalmo3 4y agoSurely that's factored in in "per woman"?
- naniwaduni 4y agoBut not into "births".
- strken 4y agoTurns out it's "per woman of childbearing age," so thus excludes infant mortality.
- deleted 4y ago[deleted]
- fastball 4y agoMortality before reproduction.
- mythrwy 4y agoOr no reproduction. Not everyone can or will have children.
- guerby 4y agoYou need more than 2.0 to compensate for child to young people death. The replacement rate varies per country, details here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sub-replacement_fertility https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sub-replacement_fertility
- Someone 4y agohttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sub-replacement_fertility https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sub-replacement_fertility: “The United Nations Population Division defines sub-replacement fertility as any rate below approximately 2.1 children born per woman of childbearing age, but the threshold can be as high as 3.4 in some developing countries because of higher mortality rates. Taken globally, the total fertility rate at replacement was 2.33 children per woman in 2003. This can be "translated" as 2 children per woman to replace the parents, plus a "third of a child" to make up for the higher probability of males born and mortality prior to the end of a person's fertile life. In 2020, the average global fertility rate was around 2.4 children born per woman.”