3 ms·

Possibly referencing https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_gw4eTr-hM https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_gw4eTr-hM (discussion: https://www.reddit.com/r/ArkInvestorsC

• qualudeheart 4y ago
  Thank you. I watched the video. Zeihan’s arguments I mostly can’t comment on, but it’s intriguing how he thinks the supply gap of programmers will be fixed by gen-z entering the software industry. I’m expecting AI to fill the gap. Yes, LLMs currently kind of suck at program synthesis. But the tech will get better. AGI may still be far off, Metaculus’ 2030 centered predictions may be wrong. Scalable, human level, program synthesis may be far off. But can it improve enough to reduce the demand for programming talent by, all else being equal, 20%? 25%? That seems doable within the decade.
  • ausbah 4y ago
    I think it's more likely platforms services and low/no code offerings will fill the gap