But what if you're wrong? What if the monetary effects you think are important are not? What if the reason prices rise is due to a war, energy crisis, shipping

But what if you're wrong? What if the monetary effects you think are important are not? What if the reason prices rise is due to a war, energy crisis, shipping crisis, and lockdowns in the largest manufacturing base in the world? Which, ya know, would definitely cause prices to rise? Seems to me like you're just saying you're right and they're stupid without acknowledging the state of things