5 ms·

"AI-powered code editors"? Hmmm. The first I heard of this idea was about a week ago watching Peter Zeihan dismantle the techo-utopians at https://ark-invest.co

"AI-powered code editors"? Hmmm. The first I heard of this idea was about a week ago watching Peter Zeihan dismantle the techo-utopians at https://ark-invest.com/ https://ark-invest.com/. It seems like one of those future things (like fusion and flying cars) that are always going to remain in the future. I'll stick with boring old vim!

qualudeheart 4y ago
Where does he do that? Do you have a link? I’m interested.
- losteric 4y ago
  Possibly referencing https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_gw4eTr-hM https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_gw4eTr-hM (discussion: https://www.reddit.com/r/ArkInvestorsClub/comments/uv278a/what_do_you_think_about_peter_zeihans_rebuttal_to/ https://www.reddit.com/r/ArkInvestorsClub/comments/uv278a/wh...)
  - qualudeheart 4y ago
    Thank you. I watched the video. Zeihan’s arguments I mostly can’t comment on, but it’s intriguing how he thinks the supply gap of programmers will be fixed by gen-z entering the software industry. I’m expecting AI to fill the gap. Yes, LLMs currently kind of suck at program synthesis. But the tech will get better. AGI may still be far off, Metaculus’ 2030 centered predictions may be wrong. Scalable, human level, program synthesis may be far off. But can it improve enough to reduce the demand for programming talent by, all else being equal, 20%? 25%? That seems doable within the decade.
    - ausbah 4y ago
      I think it's more likely platforms services and low/no code offerings will fill the gap
ShamelessC 4y ago
I don’t know what any of those things are, but this idea is both years old and already implemented by several companies (e.g. MS Copilot). Bury your head in the sand based on the signaling of elites all you want. Or you could add the Copilot configuration to your .vimrc and see for yourself…
- ShamelessC 4y ago
  w.r.t. this investment firm, they seem all in on cryptocurrency so yeah - probably full of shit.

qualudeheart 4y ago

Where does he do that? Do you have a link? I’m interested.

losteric 4y ago
Possibly referencing https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_gw4eTr-hM https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_gw4eTr-hM (discussion: https://www.reddit.com/r/ArkInvestorsClub/comments/uv278a/what_do_you_think_about_peter_zeihans_rebuttal_to/ https://www.reddit.com/r/ArkInvestorsClub/comments/uv278a/wh...)
- qualudeheart 4y ago
  Thank you. I watched the video. Zeihan’s arguments I mostly can’t comment on, but it’s intriguing how he thinks the supply gap of programmers will be fixed by gen-z entering the software industry. I’m expecting AI to fill the gap. Yes, LLMs currently kind of suck at program synthesis. But the tech will get better. AGI may still be far off, Metaculus’ 2030 centered predictions may be wrong. Scalable, human level, program synthesis may be far off. But can it improve enough to reduce the demand for programming talent by, all else being equal, 20%? 25%? That seems doable within the decade.
  - ausbah 4y ago
    I think it's more likely platforms services and low/no code offerings will fill the gap

ShamelessC 4y ago

I don’t know what any of those things are, but this idea is both years old and already implemented by several companies (e.g. MS Copilot). Bury your head in the sand based on the signaling of elites all you want. Or you could add the Copilot configuration to your .vimrc and see for yourself…

ShamelessC 4y ago
w.r.t. this investment firm, they seem all in on cryptocurrency so yeah - probably full of shit.