3 ms·
Yellen seems to disagree, although she said the two quarters definition is too blunt and the "official" definition, the one used by NBER, takes a much more broa
by bumby 4y ago
Yellen seems to disagree, although she said the two quarters definition is too blunt and the "official" definition, the one used by NBER, takes a much more broad picture of the economy.
"There's an organization called the National Bureau of Economic Research that looks at a broad range of data in deciding whether or not there is a recession. And most of the data that they look at right now continues to be strong. I would be amazed if the NBER would declare this period to be a recession, even if it happens to have two quarters of negative growth."[1]
I think maybe you're conflating "standardized fact" with "objective fact." A kilogram is a standardized fact, even though the objective weight of the object may change. We agree there isn't an objective definition of a recession; I'm saying that despite that, there is a standardized definition. And it isn't "two consecutive quarters of negative growth."
[1] https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meet-press-july-24-2022-n1297457 https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meet-press-july-24-20...