Smaller nations rarely win wars. Consider the success rate of the various Native American groups against the US. The better metric is how interested you are in

Smaller nations rarely win wars. Consider the success rate of the various Native American groups against the US. The better metric is how interested you are in pursuing a war for the length of time necessary--it's a lot harder to get people to care about a war halfway across the other world than it is when it's prime farmland just next door. (Note that the author here also has a series that touches on this topic--the Fremen Mirage.)