Looks like ~45% probability that the deal closes before January 1st, 2024 versus ~27% probability that it closes before January 1st, 2023. So 3:2 odds that, if

Looks like ~45% probability that the deal closes before January 1st, 2024 versus ~27% probability that it closes before January 1st, 2023. So 3:2 odds that, if it closes, it will close this year rather than next.