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I was torn between sharing a link to the homepage and sharing a link to an interesting market. I think this is a really cool alternative to real-money markets l
by cosmojg 4y ago
I was torn between sharing a link to the homepage and sharing a link to an interesting market. I think this is a really cool alternative to real-money markets like Polymarket[1] and fake-money markets like Metaculus[2] given the perilous regulatory environment. I'm curious to see what HN thinks.
[1] https://polymarket.com/market-group/will-twtr-be-delisted-from-the-nyse-by https://polymarket.com/market-group/will-twtr-be-delisted-fr...
[2] https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1079/will-elon-musk-eventually-lose-his-appeal/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1079/will-elon-musk-even...
- quickthrowman 4y agoActual TWTR shares are currently a prediction market on whether the deal will go through or not, there’s no need for a low volume derivative prediction market. Short or long the shares to place your bets (or use options)
- cosmojg 4y agoOooh, I wonder if there's an arbitrage opportunity here.