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> Secondly, the West could have acted to capitalize on Ukraine's initial success in stopping the Russian blitzkrieg by convincing Ukraine's leaders to negotiate
by _kbh_ 4y ago
> Secondly, the West could have acted to capitalize on Ukraine's initial success in stopping the Russian blitzkrieg by convincing Ukraine's leaders to negotiate a neutrality agreement, similarly to Switzerland.
The difference is that Russia does not respect any agreements it signs. Russia promised to not invade Ukraine or threaten its borders when it gave up its nukes, look how well that went.
> Instead, we have been supplying Ukraine with arms, intelligence and even targeting information and stoking their belief that they can actually win a war with Russia.
The west have been supplying Ukraine with weapons that appear to be making the difference. There’s a reason Russias advances have pretty much stalled entirely, there ammo depots and command centre keep exploding.
Turns out Russia is actually kinda not so great at this entire war thing.
> However, I believe that Russia will literally stop at nothing to prevent this outcome. I personally fully believe that Russia will nuke Ukraine before allowing it to win back the territory it has lost, especially Crimeea.
If Russia even blinks at a nuke the international response will make the sanctions look like child’s play.
I think Ukraine can win this fight, every week they get more and better weapons from the west whilst Russia keeps rolling out older and older equipment.
- tsimionescu 4y ago> If Russia even blinks at a nuke the international response will make the sanctions look like child’s play. Why do you think this? Unless we're going to start WWIII over this, all of the things currently preventing us from imposing harsher sanctions on Russia will remain as strong - most importantly, Europe still needs Russian gas to be able to sustain its industry and population comfort. It is true that India, China and all the other countries who didn't agree to the sanctions may change their tune. But Russia has to weigh the probability of that versus the costs to their regional power if they lose the war. And trusting in Putin's rationality is a pretty tough sell from my point of view.
- _kbh_ 4y ago> Why do you think this? Unless we're going to start WWIII over this, all of the things currently preventing us from imposing harsher sanctions on Russia will remain as strong - most importantly, Europe still needs Russian gas to be able to sustain its industry and population comfort. MAD requires a overwhelming response to any nuclear use, it is true that Ukraine doesn’t have nukes so that response won’t be nuclear itself. But if the world just “lets it go” then it would be speed up nuclear proliferation like no tomorrow. I believe any use of a nuke is the end of Russia even if it’s a slow fall.