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I just moved to Taiwan from the States. It feels risky given the political situation. It seemed like the Russo-Ukrainian war would be a perpetual stalemate, and

by ipnon 4y ago

I just moved to Taiwan from the States. It feels risky given the political situation. It seemed like the Russo-Ukrainian war would be a perpetual stalemate, and then one day everything changed. Taiwan is a beautiful country, and the Taiwanese people don’t deserve to be threatened with invasion. I suppose by moving I am betting that the risk is less than 50%, but I don’t think it’s 0. The United States enjoy a geopolitical security that may not be appreciated until you leave.

flyinglizard 4y ago
You (probably) get better personal safety in Taiwan, and if China decides to have a go you’ll likely get enough of an advance notice and will have evacuation options courtesy of the US Navy. I wouldn’t worry.
- mwint 4y ago
  Honest question, what dynamics make you think China would give advance notice?
  - runnerup 4y ago
    They have to stage a ton of equipment and personnel near the coast before launching an invasion. USA will have a 2-3 month heads up if the only intelligence they have is satellite photos.
    - arroz 4y ago
      If that is how they go about it They could also just blow up all government buildings from afar
      - deleted 4y ago
        [deleted]
      - NhanH 4y ago
        China isn’t looking to obliterate Taiwan off the earth. They wage a war to unite the country: they need a functioning Taiwan as much as possible after the war ends. To put it another way, they considers it to be a civil war, and will give plenty of warning in order to convince everyone else to stay out of the way.
  - arroz 4y ago
    If they do an anfibious invasion, it will be easily spotted But, no one can foresee the future
  - Barrin92 4y ago
    the dynamics of not accidentally killing foreign diplomats. When the US embassy starts to tell staff to pack their bags and the State Department issues a travel warning you know it's time to leave, as was the case in Ukraine at the end of January.
- baybal2 4y ago

by ipnon 4y ago

flyinglizard 4y ago

You (probably) get better personal safety in Taiwan, and if China decides to have a go you’ll likely get enough of an advance notice and will have evacuation options courtesy of the US Navy. I wouldn’t worry.

mwint 4y ago
Honest question, what dynamics make you think China would give advance notice?
- runnerup 4y ago
  They have to stage a ton of equipment and personnel near the coast before launching an invasion. USA will have a 2-3 month heads up if the only intelligence they have is satellite photos.
  - arroz 4y ago
    If that is how they go about it They could also just blow up all government buildings from afar
    - deleted 4y ago
      [deleted]
    - NhanH 4y ago
      China isn’t looking to obliterate Taiwan off the earth. They wage a war to unite the country: they need a functioning Taiwan as much as possible after the war ends. To put it another way, they considers it to be a civil war, and will give plenty of warning in order to convince everyone else to stay out of the way.
- arroz 4y ago
  If they do an anfibious invasion, it will be easily spotted But, no one can foresee the future
- Barrin92 4y ago
  the dynamics of not accidentally killing foreign diplomats. When the US embassy starts to tell staff to pack their bags and the State Department issues a travel warning you know it's time to leave, as was the case in Ukraine at the end of January.
baybal2 4y ago