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> Will you build a bridge that’s inexpensive, but will have to be replaced in 25 years, or will you spend twice the money for more concrete and more steel to ma
by MichaelApproved 4y ago
> Will you build a bridge that’s inexpensive, but will have to be replaced in 25 years, or will you spend twice the money for more concrete and more steel to make it last for 50?
> > Of course the second (which is what is actually usually done) the issue being that in real world after 50/60/70/80 years the bridge won't be replaced/repaired.
Assuming the bridge would actually be replaced at its actual end of life (25/50 years) and assuming a horrible return on spending (double money for only double the life), I'd say the 25 year option would be better in many (not all) cases.
From a cash flow perspective, it'd be helpful for a local government to avoid immediately spending on infrastructure costs that could be delayed for 25 years (when the lower cost bridge would be due to be rebuilt).
From the unknown future perspective, the city/town population could possibly change (bigger/smaller) 25 years into the future.
If the population grows, replacement bridge would need to be bigger and they could use the saved money to build a bigger one. Of course, if the population shrinks, they could spend less on a smaller replacement bridge.
Again, this assumes a poor return on increased spending. Doubling the costs to double the life. If you could double the costs and triple the life or increase the cost by only 50% to double the life, the equation favors going with the longer term bridge.
- jaclaz 4y agoThis is (good BTW) "pure financial theory". But the assumption here is that the replacement bridge is built "overnight" or however without altering in any way the normal traffic on and around it, which is very rarely the case, more likely you should expect months or years (of course depending on the size/complexity of the bridge) of limitations/difficulties with the city traffic, noise, dust and all the issues usually connected with construction sites. This is an indirect (hidden) cost of all kind of infrastructures that the population/users will have to bear.
- MichaelApproved 4y agoGreat points across the board. Thanks!