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“As of 10 April 2022, there are about 97 million cases and about 1.4 million deaths in North America; about 88.9 million have recovered from COVID-19, meaning t

“As of 10 April 2022, there are about 97 million cases and about 1.4 million deaths in North America; about 88.9 million have recovered from COVID-19, meaning that nearly 11 out of 12 cases have recovered or that the recovery rate is nearly 92%.[5]” Population of us and Canada about 368m. If 1.4m have died from covid, this is a best case chance of death of 1/262 (0.38%). Using the information from Wikipedia quoted above, there was a 1.4% chance of dying from covid over the course of the pandemic. Both of these numbers are noticeably higher than the 1/5000 quoted in the article and that for hospitalization not death. The chance of dying in childbirth, based on what I found w/ google, is 0.85/5000 and there does not seem to be an outcry to make births safer. While 1/5000 is a concern, the reduction in deaths and hopefully long covid from vaccination is less than the death rate pre vaccination. And fortunately, covid is presenting a less serious infection rate with omicron. There is a fair number of people who aren’t (sufficiently) vaccinated. If you don’t trust mRNA vaccines, there are a number of alternatives using older vaccination technologies you can use. And omicron tailored vaccines are expected later this year.

conz 4y ago
The numbers are even starker when you consider: 1) Only 86 out of the 330 million Americans have been infected by COVID-19[0] 2) Over 279,000 American deaths were prevented by the COVID vaccines as of July, 2021, and obviously more since then.[1] So, if we re-run the numbers with these changes to inputs, we get: Number of Americans who died (or would otherwise - without vaccines - have died) from COVID-19 / Number of Americans who were infected by COVID. This gives a case fatality rate of (1,013,651 + 279,000) / 86,693,081 = 0.014910659 ~ 15/1000 This compares to 1/5000 chance of a serious side effect is defined as requiring hospitalization, life-threatening, or life-changing, but not deaths, per-se. So, taking pot-luck chance with COVID is 75 times more likely to cause you death than an mRNA vaccine is to cause you a serious side-effect. [0] https://usafacts.org/visualizations/coronavirus-covid-19-spread-map/ https://usafacts.org/visualizations/coronavirus-covid-19-spr... [1] https://thehill.com/changing-america/well-being/longevity/562659-covid-19-vaccines-saved-279000-lives-and-125-million/ https://thehill.com/changing-america/well-being/longevity/56...

conz 4y ago

The numbers are even starker when you consider: 1) Only 86 out of the 330 million Americans have been infected by COVID-19[0] 2) Over 279,000 American deaths were prevented by the COVID vaccines as of July, 2021, and obviously more since then.[1] So, if we re-run the numbers with these changes to inputs, we get: Number of Americans who died (or would otherwise - without vaccines - have died) from COVID-19 / Number of Americans who were infected by COVID. This gives a case fatality rate of (1,013,651 + 279,000) / 86,693,081 = 0.014910659 ~ 15/1000 This compares to 1/5000 chance of a serious side effect is defined as requiring hospitalization, life-threatening, or life-changing, but not deaths, per-se. So, taking pot-luck chance with COVID is 75 times more likely to cause you death than an mRNA vaccine is to cause you a serious side-effect. [0] https://usafacts.org/visualizations/coronavirus-covid-19-spread-map/ https://usafacts.org/visualizations/coronavirus-covid-19-spr... [1] https://thehill.com/changing-america/well-being/longevity/562659-covid-19-vaccines-saved-279000-lives-and-125-million/ https://thehill.com/changing-america/well-being/longevity/56...