mmmmmmmmmmm, the science.org writeup of the actual study somewhat exaggerates the findings. The survey was not primarily about this question, but here's how it

mmmmmmmmmmm, the science.org writeup of the actual study somewhat exaggerates the findings. The survey was not primarily about this question, but here's how it was worded: "In the next few years, there will be civil war in the United States." The allowed responses were: "Do not agree", "Somewhat agree", "Strongly agree", "Very Strongly agree" 47.8% said that they "Do not agree" and a further 36.4% responded "Somewhat agree". A further 2.1% did not respond. So, only 13.7% gave one of the top half of the answers ("Strongly agree" or "Very strongly agree"). This paper was just posted to medrxiv today, but I've seen this list of survey questions elsewhere (perhaps this was posted elsewhere a month or two ago?). It's not a great paper -- many of the survey questions are pretty slanted (though this civil war-related one is not), and they're slanted exactly the way you would expect given the conflicts-of-interest disclosure in the paper that every author on the paper is a member of multiple left-wing anti-gun political organizations. Still, have a look at the actual survey questions and responses. They're somewhat interesting despite the study's problems: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.07.15.22277693v1.full.pdf https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.07.15.22277693v...