One of the questions is, "If Elon doesn't buy Twitter, what will the share price be?" If you think embarrassing info is likely, then you could answer with a low

One of the questions is, "If Elon doesn't buy Twitter, what will the share price be?" If you think embarrassing info is likely, then you could answer with a lower price there. You can also factor whatever odds of him doing well at trial into your answer to other questions. The formula itself doesn't require a direct answer to your question.