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People have no intuition for what is technically possible or its implications in cases like this, including most people in tech. So they fallback to mentally mo
by jandrewrogers 4y ago
People have no intuition for what is technically possible or its implications in cases like this, including most people in tech. So they fallback to mentally modeling these cases in terms of things they are familiar with, without any sense of the inadequacies of the model. You can tell people these facts all day but they don't grok it, really, and it would be hard work to try to grok it, which few people have either time or inclination for. They may feel uneasy about it in some abstract sense but as far as they are concerned it doesn't affect them in a material way.
Humans make decisions based things they can imagine and effectively reason about. Humans struggle to incorporate elementary probability theory into their reasoning; anything that requires complex systems thinking, which these kinds of topics do, is only going to be practically accessible to a small percentage of the population.