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Is a 2016 National Geo docu. Features Stamatis Moraitis. Dead. Features Dr. Ellsworth Wareham. Dead. Features Marge Jetton. Dead. Features....oh well I don'

by dxbydt 4y ago

Is a 2016 National Geo docu. Features Stamatis Moraitis. Dead. Features Dr. Ellsworth Wareham. Dead. Features Marge Jetton. Dead. Features....oh well I don't want to spoil your day. They are all dead. https://abcnews.go.com/Health/photos/photos-greek-isle-residents-live-decade-longer-americans-19784159/image-19784308 https://abcnews.go.com/Health/photos/photos-greek-isle-resid... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ellsworth_Wareham https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ellsworth_Wareham https://adventist.news/news/blue-zones-icon-jetton-dies-at-106 https://adventist.news/news/blue-zones-icon-jetton-dies-at-1...

anamexis 4y ago
What is your point? I would expect anyone over 100 would be extremely likely to die within 8 years.
- sbierwagen 4y ago
  Per the 2019 Social Security actuarial table, a 100 year old man has a 34% chance of dying within one year: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
  - MisterBastahrd 4y ago
    Two years ago my grandmother took a photo with 3 other centenarians at her assisted living center. She was the oldest by 3 years. I just searched their names and two of the others passed away within a year of the photo.
- khuey 4y ago
  Per the SSA actuarial tables a 100 year old man has a 95% chance of being dead 6 years later and a 100 year old woman has a 92.5% chance of being dead 6 years later.
melling 4y ago
They all lived to be 100. Not bad. I suppose if we hoped they’d get to 110, we might actually have to do a bit of research. At the moment, we’re simply relying on getting lucky to get to 100.
axlee 4y ago
Terrible take. How old were they when they died? Of course, if you are 95+, you are very likely to die soon, but you you are still part of a 2% percentile of longevity, and that's with western actuarial tables that don't reflect at all longevity in other places.

by dxbydt 4y ago

anamexis 4y ago

What is your point? I would expect anyone over 100 would be extremely likely to die within 8 years.

sbierwagen 4y ago
Per the 2019 Social Security actuarial table, a 100 year old man has a 34% chance of dying within one year: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
- MisterBastahrd 4y ago
  Two years ago my grandmother took a photo with 3 other centenarians at her assisted living center. She was the oldest by 3 years. I just searched their names and two of the others passed away within a year of the photo.
khuey 4y ago
Per the SSA actuarial tables a 100 year old man has a 95% chance of being dead 6 years later and a 100 year old woman has a 92.5% chance of being dead 6 years later.

melling 4y ago

They all lived to be 100. Not bad. I suppose if we hoped they’d get to 110, we might actually have to do a bit of research. At the moment, we’re simply relying on getting lucky to get to 100.

axlee 4y ago

Terrible take. How old were they when they died? Of course, if you are 95+, you are very likely to die soon, but you you are still part of a 2% percentile of longevity, and that's with western actuarial tables that don't reflect at all longevity in other places.