Lockdown was helpful in blunting the peak(s), purely based on hospitalization, with the additional curve ball that we had to predict hospitalization because it

Lockdown was helpful in blunting the peak(s), purely based on hospitalization, with the additional curve ball that we had to predict hospitalization because it was a lagging indicator. Lockdown in NY may have made things worse. We sent kids home from college to the elderly, reduced our hospitalization staff at the worst time, and turned nursing homes into hotbeds.