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I would add e) - if the whole western economy depends on a single country as a supplier, and this country wants to become the world leader, then it is in the in
by bornfreddy 4y ago
I would add e) - if the whole western economy depends on a single country as a supplier, and this country wants to become the world leader, then it is in the interest of the said country to make as much economic problems for west as possible, but not so much that the countries would again develop local supply or import from elsewhere. Excuses a), b), c) and d) are very handy for this and allow the said country to walk the fine line. It helps if the country is tightly run. Genius and scary to watch.
- KerrAvon 4y agoThere are enough western observers in Shenzhen etc that I find this attractive explanation somewhat wanting.
- bornfreddy 4y agoWhat do they observe, and how do you think this will help? Note that I don't blame the unnamed country, they would be stupid not to bank on the fact that they are the major / only producer. The trouble lies with our shortsighted greed where it is more important to save money on costs than to manage risks (IP theft, depending on a single entity). We'll see, hope (but doubt) I'm wrong.
- rashkov 4y agoDo you have any evidence at all or is this just a wild theory?
- bornfreddy 4y agoNo evidence (obviously), but the reality eerily matches this hypothesis, unfortunately. I would love to be proven wrong.
- nosianu 4y ago> but the reality eerily matches this hypothesis, Of course it does, since you developed it to fit the data. Try making a prediction about things you don't know yet instead of creating a hypothesis for observed data, which is easy to make fit. Humans are great at developing arbitrary stories for observed data, nut nearly as good at making predictions (other than linear extensions of currently observable trends). If your theory only "predicts" the data you used to develop it it's just a story.