4 ms·

Too much conspiracy theory. I think simply that Musk do not see the imminent market crash. Now he is going in tribunal to negotiate a lower price. The think wil

by fbn79 4y ago

Too much conspiracy theory. I think simply that Musk do not see the imminent market crash. Now he is going in tribunal to negotiate a lower price. The think will end with Musk owning Twitter in a way or another.

godmode2019 4y ago
This is the obvious answer for any rational observer. Everyone seems to want to attribute it to some projected character fault in Musk, a chance to elevate their morality or intelligence higher than a famous rich guy. Musks offer was strategically made before yearly earnings, when everyone posted bad earnings the market tanked.
- ordu 4y ago
  > This is the obvious answer for any rational observer. "Obvious" and "rational" in one sentence seem to me suspicious every time. I'm suspicious about "obvious" itself, because of my math education, but when combined with "rational" it is just too much for me. The answer you refer is a simpliest one: it doesn't need any special assumptions of Musk's personality and it is built on a smallest possible sample of relevant facts. May be it means that it is an obvious answer? May be. But it doesn't mean that it closer to reality than more complex opinions relying on more data points and more complex models of Musk's personality, not just an assumption of his rationality.
- SZJX 4y ago
  On the contrary, explanations like the one by the GP seem to attribute way more superhuman character to Musk than who he is: just another person, and one with a pretty peculiar personality at that. His traits could have brought him spectacular success, but could also make him prone to eccentric episodes like this, especially as the years go by. I don’t see anything petty minded in just analyzing the situation in this way.
tarsinge 4y ago
OTOH let's not underestimate what kind of scheme smart people can come up with for billions of dollars. Maybe what he didn't see wasn't the market crash but that he could not back away as easily as he tough.
ordu 4y ago
> I think simply that Musk do not see the imminent market crash It is possible of course, but unlikely. Musk doesn't seem to me as a person who might be surprised by this market crash, I heard him talking about the coming crash and how it will influence his plans before he started talking about buying twitter. My memory may be faulty but I think he mentioned it for example in December when justifying himself pushing SpaceX engineers to work harder to bring Raptor 2. It seems more plausible for me that he tried to sell Tesla shares before the crash hit them.

by fbn79 4y ago

godmode2019 4y ago

This is the obvious answer for any rational observer. Everyone seems to want to attribute it to some projected character fault in Musk, a chance to elevate their morality or intelligence higher than a famous rich guy. Musks offer was strategically made before yearly earnings, when everyone posted bad earnings the market tanked.

ordu 4y ago
> This is the obvious answer for any rational observer. "Obvious" and "rational" in one sentence seem to me suspicious every time. I'm suspicious about "obvious" itself, because of my math education, but when combined with "rational" it is just too much for me. The answer you refer is a simpliest one: it doesn't need any special assumptions of Musk's personality and it is built on a smallest possible sample of relevant facts. May be it means that it is an obvious answer? May be. But it doesn't mean that it closer to reality than more complex opinions relying on more data points and more complex models of Musk's personality, not just an assumption of his rationality.
SZJX 4y ago
On the contrary, explanations like the one by the GP seem to attribute way more superhuman character to Musk than who he is: just another person, and one with a pretty peculiar personality at that. His traits could have brought him spectacular success, but could also make him prone to eccentric episodes like this, especially as the years go by. I don’t see anything petty minded in just analyzing the situation in this way.

tarsinge 4y ago

OTOH let's not underestimate what kind of scheme smart people can come up with for billions of dollars. Maybe what he didn't see wasn't the market crash but that he could not back away as easily as he tough.

ordu 4y ago

> I think simply that Musk do not see the imminent market crash It is possible of course, but unlikely. Musk doesn't seem to me as a person who might be surprised by this market crash, I heard him talking about the coming crash and how it will influence his plans before he started talking about buying twitter. My memory may be faulty but I think he mentioned it for example in December when justifying himself pushing SpaceX engineers to work harder to bring Raptor 2. It seems more plausible for me that he tried to sell Tesla shares before the crash hit them.