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The Merge has been a pipe dream for a long time, but at this point, the implementation exists. Multiple testnets have already undergone the PoW -> PoS transitio
by ruuda 4y ago
The Merge has been a pipe dream for a long time, but at this point, the implementation exists. Multiple testnets have already undergone the PoW -> PoS transition. Some minor implementation issues came up that have been fixed. I'm pretty confident it will happen, it's more a matter of more extensive testing and coordination at this point.
As for when, Metaculus thinks 5 months from now [1], Polymarket thinks 2-3 months from now. [2] If you are truly skeptical about that timeline, you can make money on Polymarket (or virtual internet points on Metaculus).
[1]: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7971/ethereum-consensus-mechanism/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7971/ethereum-consensus-...
[2]: https://polymarket.com/market-group/ethereum-merge-pos https://polymarket.com/market-group/ethereum-merge-pos